All White papers articles – Page 11
-
White papersDon’t be fooled by the headlines, credit still looks good
Despite the headlines, this remains a positive environment for credit.
-
White papersFive factors to watch in multi-sector credit
While uncertainty remains high, the current macroeconomic environment has created a supportive backdrop for multi-sector credit, with yields likely to remain elevated as inflation lingers above central bank targets. Looking further out, our data suggest we should continue to expect positive growth and slowly falling inflation.
-
White papersPost-pandemic peripheral banks’ prospects
What are peripheral banks’ prospects post-pandemic? Premier Miton’s Head of Fixed Income, Lloyd Harris, and Toby Williams, Credit Analyst, comment on their remarkable resilience and growth. Read their latest views on banks operating in non-core European countries such as Spain, Italy, Ireland, Portugal and Greece. What does looking back in history tell us about these banks? What can we expect next?
-
White papersEmerging Market Debt Outlook: All Roads Lead to the US
This year, we are looking to the US to drive the market’s direction. We believe the US economy will continue to soften, which will spur the Fed to cut rates three times. In other words, that soft landing that we were expecting last year will likely materialise this year. When rates are lower, the USD typically weakens. And this creates a goldilocks scenario for Emerging Market Debt.
-
White papersExpecting the unexpected with more robust bond portfolios
2025 was widely expected to be a good year for bonds. The US economy seemed to have found a floor, inflation looked to be contained, and interest rates had a long way to fall. The combination of high yields and capital appreciation from falling rates was, if a bit simplistic, a reason to be excited about the outlook for compelling total returns. But 2025 is looking increasingly like it will be anything but simple, writes Olivier De Larouziere.
-
White papersRelative Value & Tactical Asset Allocation – Q2 2025
Tariffs and trade policies can produce global growth volatility through direct economic effects and investment decisions, which could then translate into global financial market volatility. This could potentially add consumer stress and even impact consumers in the higher-income cohorts who have been less impacted by ongoing, above-target, inflation.
-
White papersThe cascade effect of DeepSeek
An examination of DeepSeek’s success and how we believe it energizes Chinese innovation and changes the future of the global AI race
-
-
White papersMind the underinvestment gap: Shaping the UK’s future through private markets investment
With decades of underinvestment in UK real assets – from housing to healthcare and infrastructure – investors can tap into the opportunity to drive regeneration and growth. Taking a holistic approach to local investment could maximise social outcomes and create value for communities and investors.
-
White papersManaging health and care for sustainable performance
The European healthcare sector remains increasingly popular: being more defensive thanks to its long-term demographic drivers, the healthcare sector has always been a meaningful and defensive diversifier in a multi-asset portfolio. Despite a combination of headwinds related to rising interest rates and some operator’s issues, capital value dynamics have diverged across countries and subsectors of health and care.
-
White papersCentral and Eastern Europe: long-term growth driver for the entire EU area
In the 2000s, Eastern Europe was a successful region of Emerging Markets. A kind of gold rush attracted many investors to these markets. The region was hit hard by the financial crisis of 2008, but the investment story was not yet written off. It was only political changes, such as the Caucasus war of 2008, the annexation of Crimea in 2014 and, ultimately, the war in Ukraine in 2022, that made this region almost uninvestable for many investors.
-
White papersEmerging markets private credit: an attractive, alternative approach
With the private credit industry growing at pace, Mihai Florian, EM Debt Senior Portfolio Manager at RBC BlueBay, explains why EM corporates are in a stronger position than their DM peers and why a long, established track record in EM investing is key to understanding this nascent asset class.
-
White papersAt a time of rapid global change, what does Asian EMD offer investors?
Once considered a niche of a niche, emerging market debt has come to the fore as a way to access the world’s most dynamic region. Here’s where we see the opportunity
-
White papersThe future of investment in seniors housing
As financial markets grow increasingly complex and data-driven, alternative asset managers must continuously innovate to maintain a competitive edge. This evolution is particularly important in the Seniors Housing sector, where demographic trends, operational challenges, and regulatory requirements require sophisticated investment strategies.
-
White papersAlternative Credit: The diversification benefits of bank originated assets
The investment landscape has transformed dramatically over the past decade, and the role of private credit in institutional investor portfolios has moved from a satellite investment to a core portfolio allocation, playing an important role within a new, uncertain macro environment. Not only have institutional investors continued to increase allocations to private credit, they are also actively looking to diversify within this asset class - seeking solutions which address specific portfolio goals, in addition to providing access to idiosyncratic factors and potential for robust risk return profiles.
-
White papersArtificial intelligence and investing: it’s all about the data
Teaching machines how to “think” has been a tantalizing goal since the early days of computing, and recent advances in generative AI have brought us closer to achieving it. However, whether AI-generated “buy/sell/hold” signals can be used for investing is partly a question of whether the value outweighs the risk. One only needs to read a few passages of AI-written content to notice that it is a simulacrum.
-
White papers5,500 years old & the next big thing – asset-based finance
Private credit encompasses a dizzying array of strategies – from well-understood corporate direct lending to more esoteric music royalties, fund financing, litigation finance, and real estate credit. Direct lending remains the center of gravity. For allocators looking to build out large scale private credit portfolios, where to go after direct lending can be a challenge. We believe asset-based finance (“ABF”) is the answer – a truly scalable opportunity that focuses on income generation and capital preservation.
-
White papersPrivate Credit’s Evolution: Stability, Opportunity, and the Road Ahead
Private credit has undergone a transformation in recent years, and as we head into 2025, the opportunities ahead are clearer than ever. At Arrow Global, we manage and service over €110bn in assets, giving us a deep, data- driven understanding of market performance. The landscape today is shaped by a combination of historical pressures and new trends, and investors who recognise these dynamics will be best positioned for success.
-
White papersCentral banks on hold as uncertainty mounts
The US Fed kept interest rates unchanged in the 4.25-4.50% range at its March policy meeting. Citing risks around elevated uncertainty from trade policies, the Fed prefers to wait and see given that the uncertainty is “remarkably high”.
-
White papersTopic Modeling with AI Tools
We present a robust topic modeling framework that mitigates overfitting while capturing the evolving nature of discourse. Our approach proposes a dynamic, temporal network-based model that adapts to emerging topics while maintaining semantic stability through alignment with predefined themes.
